煤炭工程 ›› 2017, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (6): 92-95.doi: 10.11799/ce201706027

• 研究探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于数据挖掘算法的底板破坏深度预测

白丽扬   

  1. 山东科技大学矿业与安全工程学院
  • 收稿日期:2016-12-22 修回日期:2017-02-16 出版日期:2017-06-09 发布日期:2017-06-20
  • 通讯作者: 白丽扬 E-mail:786661009@qq.com

Prediction of depth of destroyed floor based on data mining algorithm

  • Received:2016-12-22 Revised:2017-02-16 Online:2017-06-09 Published:2017-06-20

摘要: 针对以往使用单一因素预测底板破坏深度误差较大的问题,基于开源数据挖掘工具Weka平台,以底板破坏因素为样本应用贝叶斯分类器、支持向量机、神经网络、决策树和随机森林模型实现对底板破坏深度数据的整理挖掘分析,从多因素角度出发完成对底板破坏深度的综合预测。平台应用结果表明,工作面斜长、埋深为破坏深度的主要影响因素|神经网络模型的节点错误率最低,决策树模型最高|神经网络和随机森林模型在详细的精度方面准确率达95%|总体分析对比神经网络预测效果最优,能够较好实现对煤矿底板破坏深度的预测。

关键词: 数据挖掘, 底板破坏深度, Weka平台, 贝叶斯分类器, 支持向量机, 神经网络, 决策树, 随机森林

Abstract: The research on the depth of destroyed floor in coal mining is important to the realization of coal mine safety and high efficiency mining. In view of the large error problems of single factor predicting the depth of destroyed floor, based on the open source data mining tool of Weka Platform and analyzing of the sample factors, and the data of destroyed floor depth was analyzed by using Bias Classifier, Support Vector Machine, Neural Network, Decision Tree and Random Forest Model. The comprehensive prediction of destroyed floor depth was completed from the perspective of multiple factors. The application results show that the length of working face and mining depth were the main influencing factors on destroyed floor depth; The node error rate of the Neural Network Model was the lowest, and the node error rate of the Decision Tree Model is the best; The accuracy rate of Neural Networks and Random Forests is 95% in detail; With overall analysis, the forecasting effect of Neural Network Model was optimal, and it achieved better prediction of destroyed floor depth.

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